Oscar Predictions: Part 2

Part 2 of my Oscar predictions. You can read part 1 here, part 3 here and my Best Picture pick. This post includes the following categories:

Best Production Design
Arrival, Patrice Vermette, Paul Hotte
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them, Stuart Craig, Anna Pinnock
Hail, Caesar!, Jess Gonchor, Nancy Haigh
La La Land, David Wasco, Sandy Reynolds-Wasco
Passengers, Guy Hendrix Dyas, Gene Serdena
la-la-land-002Will Win: La La Land, David Wasco, Sandy Reynold-Wasco
Could Win: Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them, Stuart Craig, Anna Pinnock
Should Win: La La Land, David Wasco, Sandy Reynold-Wasco
La La Land‘s production design was really solid. As much as I had an aversion to this hyper-saturated, bright, colorful world, they really did nail it. The visuals were very well suited for the kind of story La La Land was trying to tell. Fantastic Beasts has been a solid contender in this category, but I still think the odds are in La La Land‘s favor. I would have really liked to see Nocturnal Animals nominated in this category, too. You’ll hear me say this a few times in this post, but had Lemonade been submitted for contention at the Oscars, I think it is a very real possiblity it may have landed a nomination in this category.
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Best Costume Design
Allied, Joana Johnston
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them, Colleen Atwood
Florence Foster Jenkins, Consolata Boyle
Jackie, Madeline Fontaine
La La Land, Mary Zophres
bey-costumesWill Win: La La Land, Mary Zophres
Could Win: Jackie, Madeline Fontaine
Should Win: Lemonade, Marni Stelofante (stylist)
It’s pretty unusual for a contemporary piece to win this award, its almost always goes to a period piece or fantasy film. However, I think many of the other contenders in this category are a little lackluster, making La La Land the frontrunner. The costumes in La La Land were good, but I think if La La Land wins it will be for the canary yellow dress that Emma Stone wears. That one garment is so stand-out, that it might snag the Oscar. The recreation of Jackie Kennedy’s iconic fashion in Jackie might be enough to win the award, but it can’t quite compete with La La Land in other awards shows.
lemonadeYes. I know. Lemonade isn’t nominated, it wasn’t even released theatrically. But the costumes worn in that are gorgeous. They almost steal the entire piece. And if we’re going to give someone an Oscar for a yellow dress, can it at least be for this Roberto Cavalli number??
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Best Makeup & Hair Styling
A Man Called Ove, Eva Von Bahr, Love Larson
Star Trek Beyond, Joel Harlow, Richard Alonzo
Suicide Squad, Alessandro Bertolazzi, Giorgio Gregorini, Christopher Allen Nelson
hairWill Win: Suicide Squad, Alessandro Bertolazzi, Giorgio Gregorini, Christopher Allen Nelson
Could Win: Star Trek Beyond, Joel Harlow, Richard Alonzo
Should Win: Lemonade, Kim Kimble, Sir John Barnett
When we look at the entire scope of movies released in 2016, these are the best three that should qualify for the Best Makeup & Hair Styling Oscar? I suspect there is an onslaught of movies that should have been included in this category that were left out. Right now it’s looking like this will actually go to Suicide Squad. So, Suicide Squad will be an Oscar winning film…I know…
You know what would have been great? If Lemonade had been a contender in this category. Because I think it actually could have won.
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Best Sound Editing
Arrival, Sylvain Bellemare
Deepwater Horizon, Wylie Stateman, Renee Tondelli
Hacksaw Ridge, Robert Mackenzie, Andy Wright
La La Land, Ai-Ling Lee, Mildred Iatrou
Sully, Alan Robert Murray, Bub Asman
hacksawridge4Will Win: Hacksaw Ridge, Robert Mackenzie, Andy Wright
Could Win: La La Land, Ai-Ling Lee, Mildred Iatrou
Should Win: Hacksaw Ridge, Robert Mackenzie, Andy Wright
I don’t know how Hacksaw Ridge doesn’t win this award. It is SO well edited. Oddly enough La La Land seems to be the runner-up in this category, but truthfully, I’m not quite sure why it’s nominated in this category. I mean, La La Land was well edited, but the success of a sound design in a movie musical relies more on the mixing than the editing.
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Best Sound Mixing
Arrival, Bernard Gariépy Strobl, Claude La Hayne
Hacksaw Ridge, Kevin O’Connell, Andy Wright, Robert Mackenzie, Peter Grace
La La Land, Andy Nelson, Ai-Ling Lee, Steven Morrow
Rogue One, David Parker, Christopher Scarabosio, Stuart Wilson
13 Hours, Greg P. Russell, Gary Summers, Jeffrey J. Haboush, Mac Ruth
arrival3Will Win: Hacksaw Ridge, Kevin O’Connell, Andy Wright, Robert Mackenzie, Peter Grace
Could Win: Arrival, Bernard Gariépy Strobl, Claude La Hayne
Should Win: Arrival, Bernard Gariépy Strobl, Claude La Hayne
It is crystal clear to me that Arrival should win in this category. The sound works so well with the score. Everything sort of hums, especially in the scenes that take place near or on the ship, but unless you’re looking for it you don’t notice it. You hear what you’re meant to hear and everything else lives in the background, giving you an aural understanding of the space on screen. However, I think it’s more likely that this goes to Hacksaw Ridge and it’s well-earned. I think Hacksaw shines a bit more in its sound editing more than mixing, but the two crafts complement one another.
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Best Original Score
Jackie, Mica Levi
La La Land, Justin Hurwitz
Lion, Dustin O’Halloran, Volker Bertelmann
Moonlight, Nicholas Britell
Passengers, Thomas Newman
arrivalWill Win: La La Land, Justin Hurwitz
Could Win: Jackie, Mica Levi
Should Win: Arrival, Jóhann Jóhannsson
I am willing to bet my right leg that Justin Hurwitz wins this award. This is a solid lock for La La Land. However, there’s been a lot of positive buzz about the score for Jackie and a lot of people thought Mica Levi was snubbed when Under the Skin was left out of the Best Score nominees a few years ago. However, I am super pissed that Arrival didn’t get nominated because I really think it should win this category. I think it may have been disqualified due to the Max Richter song used at the begining and the end, which is bonkers. The rest of the score is so original and it speaks to the thematic elements of the film. It’s integrated so well with the sound design and because the film is about linguistics and communication the integration of choirs and voices into the score was very smart.
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Best Original Song
“Audition (The Fools Who Dream)”, La La Land, Justin Hurwitz, Benj Pasek, Justin Paul
“Can’t Stop the Feeling”, Trolls, Justin Timberlake, Max Martin, Shellback
“City of Stars”, La La Land, Justin Hurwitz, Benj Pasek, Justin Paul
“The Empty Chair”, Jim: The James Foley Story, J. Ralph, Sting
“How Far I’ll Go”, Moana, Lin Manuel Miranda
lalalandauditionWill Win:“City of Stars”, La La Land, Justin Hurwitz, Benj Pasek, Justin Paul
Could Win: “How Far I’ll Go”, Moana, Lin Manuel Miranda
Should Win: “Audition (The Fools Who Dream)”, La La Land, Justin Hurwitz, Benj Pasek, Justin Paul
I would really like this category to disappear from the Oscars, I don’t really understand why The Academy of Motion Pictures and Sciences is judging music? If the award was for Best Musical Scene that might make more sense? Anyways, “City of Stars” is , for some reason, the favorite song from La La Land, and I honestly can’t figure out why. “Audition” is clearly the superior song from that movie. There is a possibility that votes will split between the two songs from La La Land and I think in that case Moana will win (which means Lin-Manuel Miranda gets one step closer to EGOT).
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Best Documentary Feature
Fire at Sea, Gianfranco Rosi, Donatella Palermo
I Am Not Your Negro, Raoul Peck, Remi Grellety, Hebert Peck
Life, Animated, Roger Ross Williams, Julie Goldman
13th, Ava DuVernay, Spencer Averick, Howard Barish
O.J.: Made in America, Ezra Edelman, Caroline Waterlow
oj2Will Win: O.J.: Made in America, Ezra Edelman, Caroline Waterlow
OJ is a lock for this category and I’m not sure I feel super comfortable proclaiming my “should” for this category because I haven’t seen all of the documentary features. O.J.: Made in America is remarkable and I loved every minute of it. I’ve never seen a docu-series like it before. But that’s what it is. It’s a series. Not a film. So, I don’t know what rules had to be bent for that to be allowed but I’m not a big fan of it. What can be measured in a series versus a film is very different and I’d be very reluctant to start measuring them by the same standards.
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The Oscars are TONIGHT on ABC at 7:30 (CT). I’ll be live tweeting during the event! Check out parts one and  three of my predictions and my Best Picture pick!

**full disclosure: I was not able to catch up with the animated, live action and documentary shorts this year, so they have been omitted from my 2017 predictions**

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