Oscar Predictions: Best Picture

oscars

This my final Oscar prediction! Check out parts 1, 2, and 3 for my predictions in the other Oscar categories.

Best Picture
Arrival
Fences
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
Hidden Figures
La La Land
Lion
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight
moonlight7Will Win: La La Land
Could Win: Moonlight
Should Win: Moonlight
It’s taken me a long time to decide on this one, but I think this award really should go to Moonlight. Best Picture should go to the film that’s the best all-around, not one with only spectacular elements. Those elements need to weave together well and that’s exactly what Moonlight does. However, the Academy will not agree with me. La La Land is sure to win Best Picture. There’s a lot of different reasons why, but ultimately I think its a little bit about narcissism. In order to work in the arts you have to be just a little narcissistic to have the audacity to believe what you do (writing/acting/directing/cinematography) is something that other people should see. So, Hollywood loves itself and it will likely reward La La Land with Best Picture because they relate to that story.

When I first saw La La Land I was a little worried that I was going to be one of very few people that weren’t super high on this movie. However, there has been a very vocal backlash that I’m a little surprised at. La La Land isn’t a bad movie. It is a brilliantly executed film that was a little light and fluffy. Because of everything that’s gone on in the last year politically, socially, etc., La La Land seems very tone deaf. It’s hard to take an artists struggle to be recognized seriously when one of your neighbors is at risk for being deported. But that’s not La La Land‘s fault. This was a film long in the making and it probably unfairly suffers from bad timing.

The Oscars are TONIGHT on ABC at 7:30 (CT). I’ll be live tweeting during the event! Check out parts one, two and three of my predictions!

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