Oscar Predictions: Part 2

<> on October 19, 2009 in Santa Clarita, California.

Part 2 of my Oscar predictions! You can read part 1 here.
This post includes the following categories:

  • Best Original Score
  • Best Original Song
  • Best Sound Editing
  • Best Sound Mixing
  • Best Production Design
  • Best Makeup and hair Styling
  • Best Costume Design

Best Original Score
Bridge of Spies, Thomas Newman
Carol, Carter Burwell
The Hateful Eight, Ennio Morricone
Sicario, Johann Johannsson
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
exmachinaWill WinThe Hateful Eight
Could WinStar Wars: The Force Awakens
Should WinSicario OR Ex Machina
Yes, I know – Ex Machina isn’t nominated. But it should be, that score was fantastic. It melted into the overall sound design, I loved it. Sicario has similar elements; the score isn’t there to swell or craft how you feel about the film, it’s woven in to the rest of the film and affects the tone more than the emotion. I loved the score for The Revenant as well, I was disappointed not to see that nominated. Right now I believe Morricone is the favorite for this category, but nostalgia may take over and give this to John Williams.

Best Original Song
“Earned It” from Fifty Shades of Grey
“Manta Ray” from Racing Extinction
“Simple Song #3” from Youth
“Til It Happens to You” from The Hunting Ground
“Writing’s on the Wall” from Spectre
hunting groundWill Win: “Til It Happens to You” from The Hunting Ground
Could Win: “Writing’s on the Wall” from Spectre
Should Win: ?
I think we need to get rid of this category. I mean, it would make EGOT-ing a little bit more difficult, but this just has so little to do with what makes a good film. Get rid of Best Original Song and replace it with Best Casting! The best thing that will come out of this category this year is the attention that Lady Gaga’s “Til It Happens to You” will shed light on The Hunting Ground and keep the topic of sexual assault on college campuses top of mind.

Best Sound Editing
Mad Max: Fury Road, Mark A. Mangini and David White
The Martian, Oliver Tarney
The Revenant, Martin Hernandez and Lon Bender
Sicario, Alan Robert Murray
Star Wars: The Force Awakens, Matthew Wood and David Acord
madmaxWill Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Could Win: The Revenant
Should Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Last night Mad Max and The Revenant tied for the top honor at the Motion Picture Sound Editor Award – and that is exactly how I think tonight will go. Most of the technical categories will teeter on the edge of Mad Max vs. The Revenant; which could end up resulting in neither film winning that category and the award going to what would really be the ‘third place’ winner. Crazy! Between all of the different action scenes and the audio of the trucks chasing one another, I feel like editing in Mad Max was just slightly more impressive than The Revenant.

Best Sound Mixing
Bridge of Spies, Andy Nelson, Gary Rydstrom and Drew Kunin
Mad Max: Fury Road, Chris Jenkins, Gregg Rudloff and Ben Osmo
The Martian, Paul Massey, Mark Taylor and Mac Ruth
The Revenant, Jon Taylor, Frank A. Montano, Randy Thom and Chris Duesterdiek
Star Wars: The Force Awakens, Andy Nelson, Christopher Scarabosio and Stuart Wilson
revenant12Will Win: The Revenant
Could Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Should Win: The Revenant
I think The Revenant has a pretty clear lead in this category. The sound mixing had to be perfect to put the audience in the wilderness with Hugh Glass, and it worked. If you were cold when you left the theater, it’s probably in large part due to the sound mixing. Sort of in reverse of the Sound Editing categories: Mad Max was also great, but the harder job seemed to be the mixing for The Revenant.

Best Production Design
Bridge of Spies, Rena DeAngelo, Bernhard Henrich and Adam Stockhausen
The Danish Girl, Michael Standish and Eve Stewart
Mad Max: Fury Road, Colin Gibson and Lisa Thompson
The Martian, Celia Bobak and Arthur Max
The Revenant, Jack Fisk and Hamish Purdy
madmax2Will Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Could Win: The Revenant
Should Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Usually we can look to the Guild Awards to make reasonable predictions in these categories, but because of the way the Art Directors Guild organizes their awards, the top prize was given to The Martian, The Revenant and Mad Max: Fury Road (excellence in production design for a contemporary film, period film and fantasy film, respectively). There’s a slight lean toward Mad Max on this one, and I’m in support of that. A world had to be created for Mad Max and what resulted was really impressive. I know a lot of that same work went in to The Revenant, but to a certain extent, nature played a big role in the production design. However, we’re all missing the bigger point here – how is Ex Machina not nominated in this category??? That house was incredible!

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
The 100-Year-Old Man Who Climbed Out the Window and Disappeared, Love Larson and Eva von Bahr
Mad Max: Fury Road, Lesley Vanderwalt, Elka Wardega and Damian Martin
The Revenant, Sian Grigg Duncan Jarman and Robert Pandini
revenantWill Win: The 100-Year-Old Man Who Climbed Out the Window and Disappeared
Could Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Should Win: The Revenant
I’m taking a stab in the dark here and guessing that the voters will split on Mad Max and The Revenant and The 100-Year-Old Man will go home with the prize. I think The Revenant is the clear winner in this category; between his injuries and exposure to the elements they really made Leonardo DiCaprio look pretty gross for this movie, and making him look gross is not easy.

Best Costume Design
Carol, Sandy Powell
Cinderella, Sandy Powell
The Danish Girl, Paco Delgado
Mad Max: Fury Road, Jenny Beavan
The Revenant, Jacqueline West
brooklyn7Will Win: The Danish Girl
Could Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Should Win: Brooklyn
As with Production Design, the Costumer Designers Guild also divides their top prize into contemporary, period, and fantasy films, so this isn’t much help in the way of predictions. My best guess is that The Danish Girl will win for costumes, that part was certainly well done. Mad Max could win, but I’m not sure there was enough variety for that to really qualify. The events in Mad Max all take place within 24 hours, I think? I really wish Brooklyn had been nominated in this category; they did an excellent job with costuming Saoisre Ronan, especially when her new life in New York begins to clash with her old life in Ireland.

The Oscars are TONIGHT on ABC at 7:30 (CT). I’ll be live tweeting during the event! Part 3 will be posted shortly.

**full disclosure: I was not able to catch up with the shorts this year (animated, live action, and documentary), so those categories are omitted from my 2016 predictions**

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