Oscar Predictions: Part 2

This is the second installment of my Oscar predictions; this round has some of the hardest categories to predict including: Best Animated Short, Animated Feature, Documentary, Documentary Short, Live Action Short, and Visual Effects.

You can read my first round of Oscar picks here.

<> on October 19, 2009 in Santa Clarita, California.

Best Short Film (Animated)
The Bigger Picture
The Dam Keeper
Me and My Moulton
A Single Life
disney-feast-bowlWill Win: Feast
Could WinThe Bigger Picture
Should Win: A Single Life
I don’t pretend to know a lot about animation, but I really, really enjoyed A Single Life. It was quick and funny and witty and original. Feast is the favored nominee, and with good reason; it is adorable, but A Single Life was the most memorable short out of the batch. You can also make a strong case for The Bigger Picture; even though it is pretty bleak it has a great animation style and the way that the scenes bleed into one another is beautiful.

Best Animated Feature Film
Big Hero 6
The Boxtrolls
How to Train Your Dragon 2
Song of the Sea
The Tale of Princess Kaguya
How-to-Train-Your-Dragon-2-pinnedWill Win: How to Train Your Dragon 2
Could Win: Big Hero 6
Should Win: The LEGO Movie
How on EARTH did The LEGO Movie not get nominated??? That is by far the most puzzling Oscar controversy I’ve heard in a very, very long time. It should be WINNING this category. In lieu of The Lego Movie It looks like How to Train Your Dragon 2 is the likely winner. Because of the the positive it attention it got when it was first released, I could see Big Hero 6 being a possible alternative.

Best Documentary Feature
Finding Vivian Mayer
Last Days in Vietnam
The Salt of the Earth
NSA ProtestWill Win: Citizenfour
Could Win: Finding Vivian Mayer
Should Win: ….
In an effort to prioritize my Oscar viewing I was unable to catch up with the documentaries, so I can’t give my personal preference. However, I think Citizenfour has been the frontrunner for a very long time. Finding Vivian Mayer was also highly regarded but given the social relevance of Citizenfour I think it will win.

Best Documentary (Short Subject)
Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1
Our Curse
The Reaper
White Earth
Veterans 1Will Win: Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1
Could Win: ???
Should Win: Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1 (?)
Why on earth are these shorts so difficult to find? Even the people at the A.V. Club haven’t seen these. Half of the appeal of having awards for shorts is to give them exposure where they usually wouldn’t have it but these are impossible to track down. Because HBO produced Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1, that is available on HBOGo and is a very moving piece. It appears that it will be the most likely winner and though I have no knowledge of its competition, it seems like a worthy one.

Best Short Film (Live Action)
Boogaloo and Graham
Butter Lamp
The Phone Call
fa65177db7c31c8cb0096e419633efa4Will Win: Boogaloo and Graham
Could Win: The Phone Call
Should Win: Boogaloo and Graham
These films were made by some very talented people. Boogaloo and Graham was sweet and funny and delightful; buzz surrounding shorts is always low but out of the 5 listed, this has definitely gotten the most attention. Sally Hawkins gives a killer performance in The Phone Call which is probably the second most likely winner.

Best Visual Effects
Captain America: The Winter Soldier
Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
Guardians of the Galaxy
X-Men: Days of Future Past
dawn-planet-apes-4-e1403190361521-dawn-of-the-planet-of-the-apes-2014-an-honest-review-spoilersWill Win: Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
Could Win: Guardians of the Galaxy
Should Win: …..
This is probably my least favorite category every year. It’s not that it doesn’t deserve to be a  part of the awards, it’s just never for any films I am interested in. That being said, I don’t think I can place my favorite pick. Based on a few other previous awards it looks like Dawn of the Planet of the Apes will be taking home this award.



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