Oscar Predictions: Part 1

This is the first of three posts highlighting my Oscar picks and predictions for this Sunday’s show.

Part 1 includes: Best Cinematography, Best Costume Design, Foreign Language Film, Makeup & Hairstyling, Best Music (Original Score), Best Music (Original Song), Best Production Design, Best Sound Editing, Best Sound Mixing.

oscars-post1

Best Cinematography
Birdman, Emmanuel Lubezki
The Grand Budapest Hotel, Robert D. Yeoman
Ida, Ryszard Lenczweski; Lukasz Zal
Mr. Turner, Dick Pope
Unbroken, Roger Deakins
Birdman_courtesy_Fox_SearchlightWill Win: Birdman, Emmanuel Lubezki
Could Win: The Grand Budapest Hotel, Robert D. Yeoman
Should Win: Birdman, Emmanuel Lubezki
This should absolutely go to Emmanuel Lubezki, Birdman was nothing short of brilliantly framed choreography. His odds of winner are very good and if he does take home the Best Cinematography Oscar this will be his second year in a row. The Grand Budapest Hotel is great to look at, but I think that’s more of a testament to the production design than the cinematography. However, should the Academy lose their minds before voting, The Grand Budapest Hotel would make an excellent second choice to Birdman.

Best Costume Design
The Grand Budapest Hotel, Milena Canonero
Inherent Vice, Mark Bridges
Into the Woods, Colleen Atwood
Mr. Turner, Jacqueline Durran
Maleficent, Anna B. Sheppard
4Will Win: The Grand Budapest Hotel, Milena Canonero
Could Win: Into the Woods, Colleen Atwood
Should Win: The Grand Budapest Hotel, Milena Cononero
I wonder how many times Colleen Atwood has been nominated at this point? She really does do amazing work, but I’m pretty confident that The Grand Budapest Hotel will take the prize on this one.

Best Foreign Language Film
Wild Tales, Damián Szifrón; Argentina
Tangerines, Zaza Urushadze; Estonia
Timbuktu, Abderrahmane Sissako; Mauritania
Ida, Pawel Pawlikowski; Poland
Leviathan, Andrey Zvyagintsev; Russia
ida-soloWill WinIda, Pawel Pawlikowski; Poland
Could WinLeviathan, Andrey Zvyagintsev; Russia
Should WinIda, Pawel Pawlikowski; Poland
I swear Leviathan should have been in last year’s awards consideration…but I guess I must have the timeline wrong. Ida is about the only foreign language film that has gotten a lot of buzz this year. Leviathan was talked up quite a bit, but if I remember correctly, it was a fairly divisive film. My bet is on Ida.

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Foxcatcher
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Guardians of the Galaxy
guardians-of-the-galaxy-team-21Will Win: Guardians of the Galaxy
Could Win: The Grand Budapest Hotel
Should Win: Guardians of the Galaxy
This one is kind of a toss up, but I think the most likely winner is Guardians of the Galaxy. I’ve actually heard a lot of criticism about the prosthetics in Foxcatcher so in some ways I’m a little surprised to see the nomination.

Best Music (Original Score)
The Grand Budapest Hotel, Alexandre Desplat
The Imitation Game, Alexandre Desplat
Interstellar, Hans Zimmer
Mr. Turner, Gary Yershon
The Theory of Everything, Jóhann Jóhannsson
toeWill Win: The Theory of Everything, Jóhann Jóhannsson
Could Win: The Imitation Game, Alexandre Desplat
Should Win: This is another unpredictable category. Of course the odds are in Alexandre Desplat’s favor as he is responsible for two of the scores. However, based upon previous awards it appears that the score for The Theory of Everything might have the slight lead. It’s a gorgeous score. If The Theory of Everything doesn’t win I could see Alexandre Desplat winning for The Imitation Game, my personal favorite on the list. It won’t win, but I did actually enjoy the score for Interstellar; I know people had conflicting feelings about it, but I loved that it was different.

Best Music (Original Song)
“Lost Stars”, Begin Again
“I’m Not Gonna Miss You”, Glen Campbell: I’ll Be Me
“Everything is Awesome”, The LEGO Movie
“Glory”, Selma
“Grateful”, Beyond the Lights
gloryWill Win: “Glory”, Selma
Could Win: “Everything is Awesome”, The LEGO Movie
Should Win: “Glory”, Selma
The only way that “Glory” isn’t winning in this category is if somehow they tried to compensate for The LEGO Movie not getting nominated for Best Animated Feature (that’s a crime we will discuss in a later post). 

Best Production Design
The Grand Budapest Hotel, Adam Stockhausen; Anna Pinnock
The Imitation Game, Maria Djurkovic; Tatiana Macdonald
Interstellar, Nathan Crowley; Gary Fettis, Paul Healy
Into the Woods, Dennis Gassner; Anna Pinnock
Mr. Turner, Suzie Davies; Charlotte Watts
The Grand Budapest Hotel - 64th Berlin Film FestivalWill Win: The Grand Budapest Hotel, Adam Stockhausen; Anna Pinnock
Could WinInterstellar, Nathan Crowley; Gary Fettis, Paul Healy
Should WinThe Grand Budapest Hotel, Adam Stockhausen; Anna Pinnock
I think you could make the argument that Interstellar is the runner-up; pockets of that film were really well done. However, The Grand Budapest Hotel is the clear, clear winner in this category.

Best Sound Editing
American Sniper
Birdman
The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
Interstellar
Unbroken
AMERICAN SNIPERWill Win: American Sniper
Could Win: Unbroken
Should Win: American Sniper
Anything with the kind of relentless gun fire that ensues in American Sniper is going to be up for a Sound Editing Award, and deservedly so. The cool thing about American Sniper is that it was able to balance the sounds of warfare with the quieter moments Chris Kyle experiences at home. Based on Guild Awards I’d predict Unbroken as the runner-up.

Best Sound Mixing
American Sniper
Birdman
Interstellar
Unbroken
Whiplash
birdmanWill Win: Birdman
Could Win: Interstellar
Should Win: Whiplash
Sound Mixing is well done when it goes unnoticed which is why it makes this category a little difficult to predict. Birdman was the favored pick at the Cinema Audio Society Awards. I would like to make a case for Whiplash even though it doesn’t have a dream of winning: mixing a film with just dialog and scoring is difficult enough as it is, but to apply those techniques AND mix in the sound of a jazz band is quite impressive. One of the biggest criticisms about Interstellar was the sound design, although I think the design that was intended was not quite what most theaters showed.

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