The last of the guild awards results are in, which means we can now get down and dirty with Oscar predictions!
“What do the Guild Awards have to do with the Oscars?” you might ask. Oscar voting works like this: all previous winners get to vote only in their respective categories. For example, only cinematographers will vote for the Best Cinematographer award, only actors vote for other actors, directors for other directors, etc. The exception is Best Picture, everyone gets to vote on that category (rules may vary slightly for the Shorts categories and Animation). As you would imagine, the Guild and Oscar voting pools are going to overlap significantly. So, if you’re looking for the most accurate way to predict Oscar wins, analyzing all the different Guild awards is the place to start.
This weekend brought us the results of the Writers Guild Awards, with The Grand Budapest Hotel and The Imitation Game taking home the top cinema prizes, and the American Society of Cinematographers Awards in which Emmanuel Lubezki took home the top honor for Birdman. The results for the Cinema Audio Society Awards, Motion Picture Sound Editors Awards, and Costume Designer’s Guild Awards have also been posted.
Most importantly, the end of the day today marks the END OF OSCAR VOTING. The Academy had to have their ballots sent in by tonight, which means there’s nothing left to do but wait for the results at the show THIS SUNDAY!